A victory for Trump's 'FAFO': How the White House strong-armed one-time close ally Colombia over immigration

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Colombia did an about-face astatine lightning-fast velocity connected accepting deportation flights successful what President Donald Trump hailed arsenic a triumph for his "f--- astir and find out" [FAFO]-style of governing. 

One of the archetypal diplomatic spats of the caller administration, Colombia’s stunt enactment connected afloat show a souring of relations with what was until precocious 1 of the U.S.’ strongest allies successful Latin America. 

But the U.S. strong-arming has already had reverberations crossed the globe: China announced it would beryllium accepting its ain nationals who unlawfully crossed into the U.S. and get deported nether the caller administration, faced with a run way menace of up to 60% tariffs. 

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After President Gustavo Petro refused 2 flights afloat of Colombian migrants deported from the U.S., Trump instantly wrote successful a Truth Social station helium was imposing 25% tariffs connected each goods from Colombia, a question prohibition connected Colombian authorities officials and different steep fiscal sanctions. He said the tariffs would scope arsenic precocious arsenic 50% by adjacent week. 

At first, Petro retaliated with his ain 25% tariffs connected U.S. goods coming from Colombia.

But amid aggravated governmental unit from wrong his ain government, the erstwhile Marxist guerrilla combatant acquiesced to each U.S. demands.

After the debacle, Trump posted a celebratory AI-generated image of himself dressed arsenic a mobster adjacent to a motion that work "FAFO." 

Experts accidental the Colombian person was taken by astonishment astatine the economical and diplomatic unit by the U.S.

"The Biden medication was doing precise small to propulsion backmost connected immoderate of the truly disruptive actions by the Petro government… including connected information practice and countering cause trafficking," said Andres Martinez-Fernandez, Latin America expert astatine the Heritage Foundation’s Allison Center. "The Biden White House was giving them carte blanche successful presumption of not pushing back. That’s important to enactment for wherefore the Colombian authorities felt truthful bold." 

COLOMBIAN LEADER QUICKLY CAVES AFTER TRUMP THREATS, OFFERS PRESIDENTIAL PLANE FOR DEPORTATION FLIGHTS

"He was taking a shot, astir apt not expecting the U.S. to travel down arsenic hard arsenic it did, erstwhile it did, due to the fact that I ideate helium wanted to gully this out," said Joseph Humire, enforcement manager astatine the Center for a Secure Free Society, a Washington, D.C.-based nonprofit. 

"If Petro was near to his ain devices, I deliberation helium would person gone done with it. I don’t deliberation helium cared astir the Colombian economy."

"His ain ministers, different sectors of the government, and evidently the backstage sector, astir apt pressured him a lot… and helium relented."

Former President Joe Biden and erstwhile Vice President Kamala Harris had often urged migrants not to travel to the U.S. – but amerciable migration figures stay stubbornly high. 

"I tin accidental rather clearly: Don’t come," Biden told ABC successful an interrogation successful 2021. But helium continued: "We’re successful the process of getting acceptable up. Don’t permission your municipality oregon metropolis oregon community."

Harris told Guatemalans that aforesaid year: "I privation to beryllium wide to folks successful this portion who are reasoning astir making that unsafe trek to the United States-Mexico border: Do not come. Do not come."

But yearly nett migration – the fig of radical coming into the U.S. minus the fig leaving – reached an all-time grounds mean of 2.4 cardinal colonisation maturation betwixt 2021 and 2023. 

Petro took connected Trump implicit the play erstwhile helium insisted helium would not judge the instrumentality of migrants who were not treated with "dignity and respect" and who had arrived shackled oregon connected subject planes. 

But aft steep tariff threats "panicked" Colombia's authorities and concern leaders, the White House aboriginal announced Colombia had agreed to each U.S. conditions, including accepting migrants connected subject planes.

AOC ROASTED OVER POST ABOUT COLOMBIA TARIFFS AND COFFEE PRICES THAT 'AGED LIKE HOT MILK'

Petro accepted 126 deportation flights past year, often with immigrants successful shackles to forestall aviation emergencies, fixed that determination are acold much deportees than officers charged with accompanying them.

"It’s not the archetypal clip this has happened, and I deliberation that was implicit BS connected [Petro’s] part," said Humire.  

"It was a pretty, I would say, poorly conceived effort by the Colombians connected this front, and for galore reasons, but, but successful particular, due to the fact that the Colombian system and nine and its information apparatus, defence apparatus, they're besides profoundly integrated with the U.S. and babelike connected the U.S.," said Martinez-Fernandez.

Colombia is 1 of the apical recipients of U.S. assistance successful the satellite owed to a information partnership. Since 2000, Colombia has received much than $13 cardinal successful overseas assistance from the U.S. Departments of Defense and State and from the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID), mostly focused connected counternarcotics efforts, continued implementation of the government’s 2016 bid accord with the FARC rebel group, integration of Venezuelan migrants and refugees, and biology programs.

For years, Colombia had grown person to the U.S., becoming a large non-NATO state successful 2022. But nether Petro, relations betwixt the 2 nations took a turn. 

Now, Colombia is intent connected shrugging disconnected U.S. power and aligning itself with China, Russia and Iran, and deepening ties with Venezuela, which finds itself astatine likelihood with the U.S. nether President Nicolas Maduro. 

"Petro’s intent is clear: helium is legitimizing the dictatorship successful Venezuela and Cuba, taking Colombia into a antithetic geopolitical orbit," Humire said. 

The spat caused a monolithic rift betwixt Petro and his overseas minister, Luis Murillo, Colombian media outlets reported. Murillo, who’s reportedly been successful interaction with Trump peculiar envoy Ric Grenell connected the matter, spent the play phoning Republican U.S. lawmakers and plans to question to the U.S. to creaseless implicit relations with Colombia's biggest trading partner. The U.S. accounts for 34% of Colombia's full trade. 

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